Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002449 0.002604 0.002770 0.002961 0.003176 0.003414 0.003697
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002246 0.002464 0.002710 0.003012 0.003379 0.003818 0.004397
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002066 0.002315 0.002609 0.002988 0.003476 0.004102 0.005004
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001962 0.002240 0.002579 0.003034 0.003654 0.004508 0.005859
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001857 0.002149 0.002515 0.003024 0.003749 0.004808 0.006638
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001754 0.002051 0.002430 0.002973 0.003772 0.005000 0.007295
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001710 0.002024 0.002435 0.003041 0.003974 0.005505 0.008697
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001665 0.001991 0.002426 0.003086 0.004145 0.005993 0.010309
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001595 0.001919 0.002358 0.003036 0.004153 0.006187 0.011358
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001518 0.001835 0.002267 0.002941 0.004073 0.006194 0.011929
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001475 0.001793 0.002233 0.002932 0.004138 0.006505 0.013598
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001388 0.001689 0.002104 0.002764 0.003904 0.006145 0.012890
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001359 0.001665 0.002093 0.002789 0.004029 0.006610 0.015543
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001337 0.001649 0.002094 0.002832 0.004195 0.007226 0.019803
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001299 0.001610 0.002057 0.002810 0.004233 0.007544 0.023397
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001280 0.001596 0.002058 0.002851 0.004403 0.008274 0.032181
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001250 0.001566 0.002031 0.002841 0.004468 0.008737 0.041861
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001213 0.001525 0.001985 0.002795 0.004446 0.008933 0.050594
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001203 0.001522 0.001999 0.002856 0.004671 0.010042 0.100930
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001189 0.001512 0.002001 0.002897 0.004857 0.011148 0.326014
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001158 0.001476 0.001960 0.002852 0.004832 0.011414 1.017007
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001121 0.001430 0.001899 0.002767 0.004699 0.011168 1.580444
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001101 0.001408 0.001880 0.002759 0.004757 0.011812 NaN